This shows a significant outperformance for Waymo and a woeful one for Apple. Though, there is a more interesting story here which speaks to the lack of standardization of this data and the gameability of these numbers (tech companies gaming numbers? surely not!). Apple data shows they reported two types of incident, raw disengagements and important disengagements, over differing periods of 2018. When re-calibrating the data to ‘important disengagements’, they show a disengagement every 2000 miles (28 disengagements in 56,135 miles).
The numbers here go to show that AVs have a long way to go in order to live up to their promise of dramatically safer, more efficient road journeys. Currently, in the US, humans have one accident per 165,000 miles driven, a 16x improvement on Waymo.
This data also nods to the fact that California has enjoyed forward thinking regulation when it comes to vehicle testing. What it doesn’t speak to is comparative vehicle testing in China, which has been markedly aggressive in chasing down frontier technologies - doing so with far fewer ethical boundaries. Whilst companies in California are making leaps towards L3/4 - I suspesct China will be aggressive in moving past current US benchmarks of success.