What a difference a week makes. From the jump, the offense continued to be dysfunctional, they gave Minnesota good field position and left our defense on the field way too long.
Offense passing is bottoming out -Buff overall Passing Rating (CFB edge) is 124/130, , 127/130 in averaging just 4.3 yrds/pass, and rank 129/130 teams in points per drive. Ineffectiveness on passing game is dampening the running game as well (47th in FBS) as opposing defenses crowd the box.
Buff’s Defense is strong - top 25 rankings in important stats like Points/Drive (25th); Yards/Pass (42); Success Rate (22) and EPA/Play (23)
Credit to Minnesota - Big and experienced team and they had our number. The executed power game, and kept Buffs off-balance with RPO, misdirection, and found weak spots to keep drives alive
Buff O-line played poorly - Colby Purcell was out sick, the Buffs used 10 lineman in the game, including 3 different centers. Max Wray went out with a concussion. Missed assignments, particularly on disguised rushes that started on the edge and went inside untouched.
Soft Safety Play - Mark Perry was responsible for 5/98 yrds passing yards. Perry PFF ratings are in the 50s across the board. Lewis is in 50s except for tackles (60s)
Only Punt coverage gets high grades according to PFF (PFF grades 85+ is exceptional, 60 = average; <50 = poor) - SPEC (85) punt coverage; PBLK (37.5 vs MN; 41 for season), RNBLK (40 vs MN; Season 67); ; TACK (51.6); RECV(57.3); RUN defense (32 MN) Tackling (32.9 vs MN)
QB situation appears dire: Blew is a strong, smooth runner, not particularly quick and elusive. Poor feel for the pocket and pressure, PFF ( TTT 2.92 seconds);
Key takeaway - in the last two games, the Buffaloes have scored just seven points. “It is one of those points in the season, given that performance, that we really had to reevaluate everything,” - Karl Dorrell
Arizona State at a Glance
Fresh off a disappointing loss to BYU
Experienced team, returning 92% of their production, which ranks 9th in FBS
Packed with talent, overall Roster strength is 20th in FBS (SFB Winning Edge)
Offense: Strongest at QB, Jaydon Daniels can deal it, also fast and elusive; RBs are fast, run downhill (Ngata, White) Offensive Line Kellen Diesch (#74, T); Donovan West
Defense: highly rated next level talent (VGA 100) at DL (Tyler Johnson); LB (Merlin Robertson); and DB (Chase Lucas). Back 7 top is a ten unit in FBS (CFB winning edge)
Leave no stone unturned, Brenden Lewis will keep going, but they might try to rotate Drew Carter in to get a including Matt Lynch, Jordon Woolverton, James Mott (second coming of Rick Neuheisel)
Time to regress to the mean: We played two tuff opponents back-to-back, and face two more talented teams. Some things are sure to be fixed. The line will stabilize- Colby Purcell will be back, Kary Kutch; Casey Roddick; Kannan Ray; Colby Purcell; Frank Fillip; Max Wray Help. Defensively, need to step it up at Safety, help is on the way on the line (Mustafa).
Rome was not built in a day: Minnesota had one of the most experienced teams in CFB, and they have had continuity in key coaching positions. CU is a development program and I believe we have great leadership that is resilient and will deliver a great product in due course.
The Pac-12 South is up for grabs, we are not the only programs facing adversity, Utah lost their QB, USC lost there HC, UCLA dropped to Fresno.
You can listen to these and subscribe to podcast on anchor.fm