How did the UK make the decision to go into lockdown?
On this week’s podcast, I spoke to Dr James Hay
— a computational epidemiologist at Harvard’s School of Public Health. We spoke about how Imperial and Oxford’s COVID-19 modelling
works, and what its strengths and limitations are.
It will be interesting if you want a deep dive into epidemiological modelling. Some interesting points:
Imperial’s modelling works like a giant game of Sims. Every person in the country is represented in the model
- The models actually have quite a lot of good data to work with
- When reading cross-country comparisons, make sure you know how each country is defining a case/infection. Clinical findings? CT? Serology? Changes in definition can result in spikes in cases.