The RiskSIGNAL Report

By Kurt S. Altrichter, CRPS®

Sign up for weekly news from the desk of President and CIO, Kurt S. Altrichter, CRPS®

Sign up for weekly news from the desk of President and CIO, Kurt S. Altrichter, CRPS®

By subscribing, you agree with Revue’s Terms of Service and Privacy Policy and understand that The RiskSIGNAL Report will receive your email address.

7

issues

#7・

The RiskSIGNAL Report: The Calm Before The Storm - Issue #7

The Ivory Hill RiskSIGNAL is still firmly in the red and we are sitting on 70% cash. The market traded almost in lockstep to last week’s post, with the S&P 500 index rallying up to the 3,900 area before the short-sellers brought the market back down. Anot…

 
#6・

The RiskSIGNAL Report: The Cash Buildup Continues As Bear Market Rallies Give Hope - Issue #6

I will be reaching out to you if I think a Roth Conversion makes sense for your situation. Down markets are a great time to take advantage of Roth Conversions because you can potentially save money on the conversion taxes.If you haven’t yet scheduled your qua…

 
#5・

The RiskSIGNAL Report: Is the Stock Market Running the Fed? - Issue #5

The Ivory Hill RiskSIGNAL is firmly red, and we are still sitting around 60% cash levels.The markets have gotten so bad that it might actually be a positive in the short term. Confidence has dropped to the lowest levels that I have seen in my career.The NASDA…

 
#4・

The RiskSIGNAL Report: June Market Expectations Update - Issue #4

The June Market Expectations Table substantially indicates that the stock market's comeback from the May 20 lows has been fueled by real improvements in the two most critical factors influencing this market: Chinese lockdowns and Fed rate hike expectations. W…

 
#3・

The RiskSIGNAL Report - Issue #3

The Ivory Hill RiskSIGNAL is still clearly negative, and we are still sitting on a lot of cash and we have increased our allocation to Treasuries. As it stands, we are sitting in about 53% cash and 15% Treasuries.As stated in my previous post the market was d…

 
#2・

Bonds Are Back And The Selloff May Just Be Getting Started - Issue #2

The Ivory Hill RiskSIGNAL is still firmly red, and we are still sitting on 60% cash and 4-5% Treasuries. The market will rip higher, we just don't know when, but we are in a very great position considering our cash levels. Our buy list three months back was o…

 
#1・

The 100 Year Old Dow Theory is now Bearish - Issue #1

The Ivory Hill RiskSIGNAL remains red, and we are still hovering around our maximum cash levels, which is a very solid 60%. Having a lot of cash could be very good for us when the market rips higher.Before we discuss Dow Theory, I want to address a question I…