View profile

Bitcoin Fear and Green Index Newsletter. Block 26

Bitcoin Fear and Green Index Newsletter. Block 26
By Bitcoin Fear And Greed Index • Issue #26 • View online
Welcome to this week’s issue of Bitcoin Fear and Green Index Newsletter. It is a community-driven effort, and we all hope to see this newsletter grow with quality insight and analytics from community contributors like yourself. Read till the end to learn how you can participate.

Current Bitcoin Fear and Greed Index
This week’s Technical Analysis
This past week, Bitcoin set a new local high following the break of the critical 50 day MA, and it initiated a retest of that average. In today’s newsletter, I will cover the current state of Bitcoin, the retest, and what needs to be done in the immediate short-term.
Gold Standard of Retests:
Before I delve into the gold standard, I’d like to remind you that this is what I personally deem as a successful retest. There are different schools of thought regarding the conditions and targets that have to be met in order for a retest to be considered valid.
The chart above illustrates the different stages that Bitcoin went through with respect to the 50 day MA. The first stage is the break and daily candle close above the moving average. This move alone signified a major break in the bearish momentum, as the last daily close above the 50 MA dated back nearly 3 months from the current break. The second stage is the revisit and hold of the 50 MA. This was critical. Not only did this revisit hold major implications regarding the immediate trajectory of the price, the market sentiment was exceedingly doubtful as well. Through closing all candles at and above the 50 MA, Bitcoin established an immediate level of support at this moving average. The third stage is the rebound. Following the hold, this bounce rendered the retest successful, to an extent.
This is where the gold standard separates the different schools of thought. For some, any simple bump in price above the 50 MA would validate the retest entirely. For others, any daily close above the 50 MA would render the retest successful. I’ve found that the aforementioned prerequisites are not enough. Especially when it comes to Bitcoin, there’s been a multitude of instances where the previous conditions were met only to be followed by breakdowns and essentially, false breaks.
There would have to be a target high enough to safeguard one’s bet from potential false breaks, and low enough to create a fair margin if a trade was to be taken at that level. A daily close above the breakout high is the target that I’ve personally found to have the highest chance of success with regard to the price continuing the bullish momentum after a particular target is met.
For Bitcoin, it means that we’d have to see a daily close above $45,850 before we can consider this retest effectively valid.
With that said, have a bullish week, until we meet again.
TA review by @CryptoSultan21
Bitcoin Adoption News This Week
It’s never too late. Don’t focus on what was taken away. Find something to replace it, and acknowledge the blessing you have.”
— Drew Barrymore
Wells Fargo Says It Is Not Too Late to Buy Bitcoin
It is not too late to invest in bitcoin, said multinational financial services giant Wells Fargo in a report, drawing parallels between the adoption rates of the internet in the 1990s and that of Bitcoin today. Wells Fargo’s global investment strategy team explained in the report that Bitcoin’s over 200% annualized gains since its first transaction in 2010 often lead some investors to think that it may be too late to join the party. However, the big bank disagrees. “We understand the ‘too late to invest’ argument but do not subscribe to it,” the report said, explaining that similar to the internet in the mid-to-late-1990s, Bitcoin “could soon exit the early adoption phase and enter an inflection point of hyper-adoption.” Moreover, Wells Fargo believes that Bitcoin’s adoption rate will be even faster than that of the internet because “each new digital invention rides the coattails of the digital infrastructure already built,” as evidenced by the steeper rise in smartphone adoption. “We expect that Bitcoin eventually will follow an accelerated adoption path similar to recent digital inventions,” the report said. “It appears that cryptocurrency use today may even be a little ahead of the mid-to-late 1990s internet,” Wells Fargo said, referring to the chart above. “Precise numbers aside, there is no doubt that global Bitcoin adoption is rising and could soon hit a hyper-inflection point.” The report said a steeper S-curve for Bitcoin might be fueled in part by greater regulatory clarity as to legal frameworks that have begun being drawn to solidify the digital currency as an investable asset for many high-net-worth individuals that have been unwilling to make an allocation.
Russia Shares Plan To Regulate Bitcoin
Russia will follow the Ministry of Finance’s suggestion to regulate bitcoin instead of banning them as previously recommended by its central bank. The Russian government published a document on its official website that outlines the rationale behind the decision and what plans for the legislation could look like, marking a consensus reached with a Bank of Russia that for weeks vouched to outlaw trading and mining completely. In the two days following Putin’s comments, the Russian government drafted a roadmap for cryptocurrency legislation that would encourage developments in the industry while ensuring regulators could enforce restrictions and collect due taxes on transactions. The new document published yesterday reflects that intention as it realizes that Bitcoin cannot be stopped and instead seeks to put laws and restrictions in place to empower watchdogs and ensure the government gets the taxes owed by citizens and businesses. State efforts will also include licensing exchanges and banks interested in providing Bitcoin services to ensure they have “liquidity cushions,” the document said. Only financial institutions that get a license will have the right to open cryptocurrency-related accounts for individuals.
Bill Introduced To Let Tennessee Buy Bitcoin
Democrat Representative Jason Powell introduced a draft bill to allow the state of Tennessee and other municipalities to invest in bitcoin. Tennessee House Bill 2644, “as introduced, authorizes a county, municipality, or the state to invest in cryptocurrency, blockchains, and non-fungible tokens,” according to the bill summary. The bill was introduced on February 2 and assigned to the House Finance, Ways, and Means Subcommittee, where it stands for further consideration by committee representatives. Powell also introduced Tennessee House Bill 2643 on the same day to establish a blockchain and cryptocurrency study committee “to help determine how to make [Tennessee] the most forward-thinking and pro-business state for Bitcoin and blockchain and to foster a positive economic environment for blockchain and it’s currency,” per the bill text. The proposed committee would meet at least once a month and be composed of the commissioner of commerce and insurance or their designee; the commissioner of financial institutions or their designee; one representative with experience or knowledge in cryptocurrency, from an academic institution, designated by the chair; one representative from a financial institution, assigned by the speaker of the house of representatives; and one representative with experience in federal securities laws, designated by the speaker of the senate. House Bill 2643 was assigned to the Business and Utilities Subcommittee for further consideration.
BlackRock Planning to Offer Bitcoin Trading
The world’s largest asset manager, BlackRock, is reportedly planning to offer a bitcoin trading service to its investor clients, three people familiar with the matter told CoinDesk. BlackRock entering the Bitcoin space by offering investment products to its clients could represent a watershed moment to the digital currency given that the New York-based firm manages over $10 Trillion in assets for institutional investors. One of the people reportedly said the asset manager would let its clients get access to loans by putting up cryptocurrency as collateral with “client support trading and then with their own credit facility.” BlackRock’s over 1,500 institutional clients – which include corporate and public pensions, endowments, foundations, and sovereign wealth funds – would be able to trade bitcoin through the asset manager’s integrated investment software, Aladdin, one of the people reportedly said. A second person familiar with the matter reportedly said that BlackRock was interested in getting “hands-on with outright crypto” and was “looking at providers in the space.” A third person reportedly commented that there is a working group of “approximately 20 or so” evaluating bitcoin inside BlackRock. “They see all the flow that everyone else is getting and want to start making some money from this,” the person added. BlackRock’s chief executive officer Larry Fink said in May of last year that the asset manager was studying bitcoin to determine whether it could offer countercyclical benefits, according to a Reuters report. The executive also said that Bitcoin could potentially play a role in long-term investing as an asset class similar to gold.
Drake Bets $1.3M Worth Of Bitcoin On Super Bowl
Canadian superstar rapper Drake is using bitcoin to bet that the Los Angeles Rams will beat the Cincinnati Bengals in the upcoming Super Bowl match. The award-winning musician shared on Instagram that he placed a total of around $1.26 million worth of BTC in bets, including over $470,000 on Rams winning the Super Bowl and about $790,000 on the team’s wide receiver Odell Beckham Jr. “All bets are in on the family,” Drake said in an Instagram post that included images of his bitcoin bets. According to the pictures, Drake’s $790,000 bet on Beckham Jr. was equally split between two achievements of the wide receiver. The Rams’ athlete would need more than 62.5 receiving yards and over 0.5 anytime touchdowns in the game to get Drake on the green. “It’s time,” Beckham Jr. said in a comment to Drake’s Instagram post. In November, the NFL star announced he would take 100% of his new salary in bitcoin through a partnership with payments platform Cash App as he left the Cleveland Browns for the Rams. The wide receiver is one of the many NFL athletes to jump on the paid-in-bitcoin bandwagon, a move that could make him up to $4.5 million in bitcoin in one year. Drake’s total payout could reach nearly $2.30 million, according to screenshots of the online betting app Stake shared in his post.
New Hampshire Establishes Bitcoin Study Commission
Chris Sununu, Governor of the U.S. state of New Hampshire, last week signed an executive order establishing a commission to investigate current Bitcoin-related laws and propose new ones as the state seeks to encourage innovation and attract businesses in the financial services sector. “New Hampshire is a hub of financial innovation, and this Executive Order will further our commitment to attracting high-quality banking and financial businesses in a safe and responsible manner,” Governor Chris Sununu said in a statement. The commission will research U.S. federal and state legislation governing Bitcoin to determine their effects on innovation and economic competitiveness of New Hampshire and the country and privacy and liberty rights of citizens, according to the order. The executive order grants the commission a maximum of 180 days to submit a report detailing its “findings, determinations and recommendations to the Governor, the Speaker of the House, and the President of the Senate.” Additionally, the commission’s report will be made publicly available on the Governor’s office website.
It is well enough that people of the nation do not understand our banking and monetary system, for if they did, I believe there would be a revolution before tomorrow morning.” - Henry Ford
Stay Safe & Stack Sats!
Bitcoin Adoption News by @CuredSausage
Community
This week’s issue is supported by Crypto Jobs List - the largest source of web3 jobs. There are hundreds of remote jobs that let your earn Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies as a part of your marketingwriting or engineering job in this industry.
Participate in the next newsletter block!
We release this newsletter weekly and would love to feature the best contributors. Three sections are up for grabs:
  • This week’s chart, TA
  • This week’s regulation news
  • Major adoption news. Who’s accepting BTC/crypto?
To participate, submit your write up via this form. Best content will be featured and authors credited. ✌️
Did you enjoy this issue?
Bitcoin Fear And Greed Index

Join our community-driven newsletter, where we cover Technical Analysis, Adoption and Regulatory news. Read till the end to learn how you can participate!

In order to unsubscribe, click here.
If you were forwarded this newsletter and you like it, you can subscribe here.
Powered by Revue