Exponential View by Azeem Azhar

By Azeem Azhar

🔮 AI & emotional intelligence; blockchain & marketplaces; jobs of the future; Apple's failing products; exoplanets, metallic hydrogen & time crystals++ #98

#98・ Jan 29, 2017

Azeem Azhar

Successful societies. Artificial intelligence and humans in harmony. The future of computers. Our planetary robot. When marketplaces met blockchain. Apple’s failing products. Metallic hydrogen.

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Dept of the near future (society special)

🌸 Umair Haque: What makes a successful society? WISTFUL

🌈 The science is in: Greater equality makes societies healthier: “The importance of community, social cohesion, and solidarity to human well-being has been demonstrated repeatedly in research showing how beneficial friendship and involvement in community life are to health.”

🤖 Why humans and computers think better together: Deloitte on intelligence augmentation and designing systems that help humans think better. WELL-ARGUED

💡 Smart machines will boost emotional intelligence. “Technology will dehumanize business by reducing human headcount, but …[I]nnovation [will be] the key strategic value creation differentiator …the environment in which people excel at creativity or innovation is very humanistic and people-centric.” THOUGHT PROVOKING

🔮 Vanishing point: the computer over the next 30 years. GOOD READ

🌐 Bruce Schneier: The internet of things is a giant world-sized robot which needs to be managed responsibly. EXCELLENT

🛢 The implications of climate change on financial markets: “80% of energy firms’ equity valuations depend on cash flows further than 5 years in the future. So, even if the energy transition kicks in only by 2020, it could have a large impact on today’s valuations.” FASCINATING (See also the good discussion on BP’s energy outlook. The oil firm has consistently under-estimated growth of renewables and over-estimated resilience of fossil fuels. It’s an incumbent forecasting error. We’ve seen similar in other industries like pre-mobile telcos wrongly predicting GSM growth.)

😱 Fake news is going to get scarier argues Nick Bilton. YIKES

Dept of artificial intelligence

Machine learning is proving to be a very versatile hammer indeed. Just this week:

🔬 A deep learning computer vision system outperforms human experts in diagnosing various carcinomas and melanomas. One interesting element was how the system’s performance became palpably better as training sets were increased by two orders of magnitude (i.e. beyond what a human could reasonably learn).
How Recursion Pharmaceuticals is using deep learning for drug discovery. Interesting case study
A computational model performs better than 75 per cent of Americans on Raven’s Progressive Matrices (a common IQ test)
Reinforcement learning will be a major theme of 2017. Here is a nice introduction of RL (with reference to various Microsoft and Google services.)
Nice how-to on building a eye-control systems using deep learning. (Haven’t played about with it myself.)
An AI is whooping humans in No-Limit Texas Hold'Em. Up $800k as of now.
🌟 On the need for 3rd party watchdog with “the power to scrutinise and audit algorithms, so they could go in and see whether the system is actually transparent and fair.” GOOD READ

Department of platform business models

There is often a lot of concern with new platform business models, such as those of Uber and AirBnb, and their potential monopoly power in a given market.

This excellent discussion by Wharton professors on Uber raises several interesting points on whether Uber’s economic model (and cash burn) are sustainable. And also:

The larger lesson for Uber is that it needs to better understand cities before it decides to enter them. While Uber can run the tech platform from its headquarters, most facets of its operations are local: drivers, riders, regulators, prices, cultural practices, among others. Uber understood this dichotomy from the start, but its operating model veered between centralization on the tech side and hyper-localization on operations,

So I found TaxiStartup, which l spotted on ProductHunt this week, super interesting. Essentially it’s a toolkit for people who want to start Uber-like services charged on a SAAS basis. Dramatically lowers the cost of entry for firms in this market, and might allow local competitors to make a dent against the globally dominant platform.

👉🏼 EV subscriber, Louis Coppey, puts forward an interesting thesis on how blockchain may upend platform marketplace models. He addresses many issues (including the market dominance problem.) GOOD READ

Elsewhere:

AirBnb is now profitable (and still has $3.1bn in the bank.)
Google, Facebook and their ilk proclaim to be ‘neutral platforms’ when it comes to the content they mediate. This, of course, isn’t really the case, especially if the content in question is a paid-for ad. Great insight into how Google fights bad adverts (1.7bn last year, up 100% on 2015; 1,000 people dedicated to the effort.)
Denmark to appoints digital ambassador because giant tech platforms “affect Denmark just as much as entire countries”.

Exponential Salon: Up close and personal

Our first event of 2017 is a dinner salon on Living and Loving with robots.

Our interlocutor is Dr Kate Devlin, from Goldsmiths, University of London, who will explore the implications of human-robot relationships as we develop closer connections with AI.

What does getting personal and intimate with robots mean for our physical and emotional wellbeing? Why and how does robot intimacy offer new opportunities for self-expression and freedom?

I think this one is going to be really fascinating. The event is Feb 9th at 1830 and is supported by BGF Ventures.

Please sign up for one of the last remaining tickets now. (You will hit a waitlist, please just add your name and we’ll invite you as slots open.)

Morsels to appear smart at dinner parties

🍏 A pre-mortem of Apple’s failing products

Cruise, the autonomous vehicle firm, may be closing in on Level 4 autonomy. (Very interesting video.)

😳 Trump knows you better than you know yourself. (Translation of long investigative piece into Cambridge Analytica, their behavioural profiling and the US election.)

Sarah Lacy on how Sheryl Sandberg is leaning out. “[Sandberg] needs to link arms. If she doesn’t, she forfeits future rights to lecture women about their duty to stand together.”

Socnet data proves opposites don’t attract.

Jobs of the future: simulated astronaut, vegan butcher, death doula.

🚼 Two infant twins are cured of cancer using a novel genetic technique #iflscience

🔭 Watch four exoplanets orbit a star #isflscience

Metallic hydrogen. Amazing. #irflscience

It’s possible scientists have created time crystals, the seventh state of matter.

End note

Several of you have written to me about partnering with Exponential View podcasts or events in some way. We’d be happy to hear from you as we explore the realms of the possibility (in the most elegant way possible).

And as a final thought, we have an Instagram feed which is populated with graphs and such. It’s quite fun. Connect with us!

Cheers,

Azeem

P.S. We passed 14,000 subscribers. Thanks, everyone.

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Azeem Azhar @exponentialview

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