Newsletter of Amitabh Vatsya - Issue #25

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Newsletter of Amitabh Vatsya - Issue #25
By Amitabh Vatsya • Issue #25 • View online
Hi ! Stock market has been closing lower for last 5 days consecutively ! Around one month before , I had predicted a small correction like this in my video. you can check out my basis for saying so !!

Will Stock Market  Crash? Retail निवेशक  क्या करे ?
Will Stock Market Crash? Retail निवेशक क्या करे ?
Blog Post
“Every Crisis is an opportunity”
During crisis there are strong chances of encashing a good opportunity. Sometimes it may come at the expense of competitors not doing good due to the crisis. Coal shortage is no exception ! So let us understand who will win in this chaos ! I have written a detailed article on a mispriced bet in ferro Alloy industry.
Stock of the Week: Equitas (Negative List)
  • Are Fast Growing banks/NBFCs safe investments?
  • What is wrong with #Equitas Small Finance Bank?
  • Philip Fisher tool applied on Indian NBFCs
  • Equity Dilution:The Secret Killer
Equitas SFB Vs Muthoot Finance ! How to Avoid Bad Investments in Banking sector ! हिंदी
Equitas SFB Vs Muthoot Finance ! How to Avoid Bad Investments in Banking sector ! हिंदी
Thread of the Week
I have started reading a master book on cyclical investing -Capital Returns ! Checkout my findings from this book here:
Amitabh Vatsya
"Capital Returns" by Edward Chancellor : A thread🧵 (1/n)

🍳Capital Cycle Anomaly
Cos often accelerate investment after their stocks have done relatively well,these same cos later underperform

Asset growth = momentum reversal

ℹ️New Capex is not equal to Investor returns! https://t.co/hgrFWlMdKN
Steel Sector updates
My summary of interview of Mr Seshagiri Rao , JMD of JSW Steel
Amitabh Vatsya
Highlights:
1. China is not the biggest influencer this year due to 11% rise in global(ex China) demand outstripping Chinese demand reduction of 1% meaning 4.5 times of growth in steel demand
2. US units adding 485 cr PAT against 280 last Q
https://t.co/6bWZiMWbta
Sadhan Portfolio Updates !
So far quarterly results of Gland Pharma, Borosil Renewables have been published and found to be satisfactory ! One of viewer was kind enough to share the excerpt of Borosil Renewable Q2 concall which i am reproducing here:
  • China solar redirect to there local needs
  • 28.3% increased thinner glass sales - solar temper
  • 18 to 20% increased price on previous avg price
  • Anti dumping duty on china valid till aug 2022 & company requested another 5 years & outcome are expected to come in coming few months
  • 3rd manufacture unit 550 tns per day increase from 450 to 1000 by Jun-2022 (implementation to take place)
  • 120% sale are expected to increase should take in place Q2 - 2022-23
  • Country plan to implement 25% GWTS p.a and country plans to setup 300 gwts by 2030
  • 14 GWTS is current plans - 18 gtws add on around 30 or 32 gwts - one to two years
  • announced 10 gwts recently, concluded tender for 54.8 gwts which includes 19 gwts back ward integration starting from polysilicon wafer
  • India gov PLI scheme
  • Russia, middle east, Africa, north & south America - expected to raise use of solar glass, receiving the higher request , huge growth export are expected
  • 4 proposed to be undertaken in financial, year 2021-22 and Commencement of Commercial production is expected between July to September 2023 - 1000 to 2100 tns per day - increase plan by Q4 fin year
Conclusion
  • - Every year (22 & 23 Mid) doubling the capacity for coming two years from now
  • - High demand in solar glass
  • - Gov Support on renewable energy PLI schema, import tax on solar panel
  • - Large existing player
You can watch the video here:
Borosil Renewables: Share for the Long Run? |Fundamental Analysis|
Borosil Renewables: Share for the Long Run? |Fundamental Analysis|
Sadhan Update
8K Milestone !!
8000 people ready to uncondition themselves and open for fresh ideas !!
Every Milestones vibrates with this Robert Frost poetry:
“Woods are lovely , dark and deep!
But I have a promise to keep!
And Miles to go before I sleep!!
And Miles to go before I sleep!! ”
That’s all for now ! Stay invested ! Stay Mindfully invested with Sadhan ! CYA next week !
Cheers !
Amitabh
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Amitabh Vatsya

I tweet about Financial Markets, Stocks, Mutual Funds and Personal Finance mostly & sometimes about Spirituality

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