The 2016 election was an odd one, as far as elections go, and not only because Donald Trump beat Hillary Clinton to become the President of the United States of America—an outcome few people expected, including, if known fabulist Michael Cohen is to be believed, Donald Trump himself
The election was odd, in part, because of the millions
of white, working-class voters who backed Barack Obama in 2012 and, in a confounding volte-face, Trump in 2016. These enigmatic souls, denizens, mostly
, of the Midwest, became an obsession for political scientists, data journalists, and pundits the moment it became clear that they played a pivotal role in delivering
the election to Trump.
A big question, now that the 2020 election is barreling into view, is whether those voters will stick with Trump.
A new study
by the Democracy Fund Voter Study Group suggests the President will need to tread softly with those voters if he wants to keep them on his side.
According to the study, most Americans regard Trump no differently than they did when he was first elected. If you disliked Trump in 2016, you probably dislike him today. If you thought he was destined to make America Great Again, you probably think he’s well on his way to doing so.
For Obama-Trump voters, however, President Trump has become notably less admired. In 2016, 85% of Obama-Trump supporters viewed the President favorably, but that percentage had fallen to 66% in 2019—a bigger drop than for any other segment of the electorate.